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AHT: 03CSV

28 Oct 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.6%
Eupen
26.7%
Draw
58.7%
Anderlecht

Expected Goals (xG)

0.64

Eupen

vs
1.55

Anderlecht

Markets

BTTS37.8%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.8%
0-2
13.5%
0-0
11.9%
1-1
11.7%
1-2
8.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-0
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-1
3.5%
2-2
2.7%
0-4
2.7%
2-0
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).