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03 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.2%
Willenhall Town
28.0%
Draw
35.8%
AFC Wimbledon

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Willenhall Town

vs
1.12

AFC Wimbledon

Markets

BTTS45.0%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
12.3%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
3-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).