Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.2%
Girona
26.1%
Draw
33.8%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Girona
vs
1.23
Malaga
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.3%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).