Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.2%
Fiorentina
25.2%
Draw
53.6%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Fiorentina
vs
1.55
Roma
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.7%
1-0
7.9%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).