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HHT: 11CSV

20 Dec 2023 · 20:00

Lille

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.2%
Strasbourg
25.0%
Draw
26.8%
Lille

Expected Goals (xG)

1.52

Strasbourg

vs
1.06

Lille

Markets

BTTS50.8%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).