Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.9%
Udinese
25.3%
Draw
54.9%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Udinese
vs
1.54
Roma
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.9%
1-1
11.7%
0-2
11.3%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.9%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).