Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.5%
Sp Braga
10.8%
Draw
5.7%
Vizela
Expected Goals (xG)
2.93
Sp Braga
vs
0.65
Vizela
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.569.5%
Over 3.548.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-0
8.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-1
5.6%
1-1
5.1%
5-0
5.0%
5-1
3.3%
2-2
2.5%
0-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).