Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.7%
Amorebieta
27.7%
Draw
52.6%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Amorebieta
vs
1.37
Elche
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.1%
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.3%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-0
3.2%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).