Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.3%
Harrogate
28.7%
Draw
39.9%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Harrogate
vs
1.14
Barrow
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
11.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).