Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.7%
Sociedad
21.9%
Draw
11.4%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Sociedad
vs
0.62
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS39.4%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
2-0
14.5%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
9.0%
0-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).