Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.6%
Ascoli
30.3%
Draw
19.0%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Ascoli
vs
0.74
Avellino
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
13.3%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).