Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.0%
Hearts
20.8%
Draw
9.2%
Dunfermline
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Hearts
vs
0.70
Dunfermline
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.3%
1-0
10.9%
1-1
9.9%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.8%
4-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
2-2
3.3%
1-2
3.0%
0-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).