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DHT: 01CSV

28 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.0%
Espanol
24.6%
Draw
20.3%
Las Palmas

Expected Goals (xG)

1.71

Espanol

vs
0.95

Las Palmas

Markets

BTTS50.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).