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01 Oct 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.5%
Cambridge
25.6%
Draw
33.0%
Rotherham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Cambridge

vs
1.10

Rotherham

Markets

BTTS46.8%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
8.3%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).