Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.7%
Lyon
21.0%
Draw
32.3%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Lyon
vs
1.64
Marseille
Markets
BTTS69.5%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.570.4%
Over 3.549.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-2
4.7%
0-1
4.5%
2-3
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).