Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.5%
Spennymoor Town
47.2%
Draw
25.3%
Billericay Town
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
Spennymoor Town
vs
0.46
Billericay Town
Markets
BTTS14.1%
Over 0.561.8%
Over 1.524.5%
Over 2.57.2%
Over 3.51.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
38.2%
1-0
19.3%
0-1
18.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-0
4.7%
0-2
4.1%
2-1
2.2%
1-2
2.0%
3-0
0.8%
0-3
0.6%
2-2
0.5%
3-1
0.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).