Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.7%
Tamworth
22.9%
Draw
53.5%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Tamworth
vs
2.05
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS64.6%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
0-3
4.9%
2-3
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
1-0
3.8%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).