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29 Apr 2021 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.3%
Ankaragucu
33.0%
Draw
30.7%
Gaziantep

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

Ankaragucu

vs
1.22

Gaziantep

Markets

BTTS55.2%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.8%
0-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
0-1
6.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).