Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.4%
Cultural Leonesa
24.6%
Draw
46.0%
Ceuta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Cultural Leonesa
vs
1.58
Ceuta
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).