Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Tottenham
29.7%
Draw
38.0%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Tottenham
vs
1.37
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).