Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.3%
Salernitana
34.8%
Draw
29.9%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Salernitana
vs
0.88
Spezia
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.583.2%
Over 1.556.9%
Over 2.528.7%
Over 3.511.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.8%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.9%
0-1
12.3%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
0-2
6.0%
1-2
5.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).