Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.6%
HamKam
21.6%
Draw
22.9%
Sarpsborg 08
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
HamKam
vs
1.19
Sarpsborg 08
Markets
BTTS59.7%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
0-1
5.2%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).