Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.9%
Manchester City
14.3%
Draw
10.8%
Tipton Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.74
Manchester City
vs
0.96
Tipton Town
Markets
BTTS57.4%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.550.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
1-0
7.0%
1-1
6.3%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
5.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-2
3.9%
5-0
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).