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HHT: 21CSV

16 Dec 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.0%
Regensburg
24.5%
Draw
60.5%
Bielefeld

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

Regensburg

vs
1.82

Bielefeld

Markets

BTTS47.3%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.2%
0-2
12.0%
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-4
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).