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14 Feb 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.8%
Falkirk
25.5%
Draw
18.7%
Dundee United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.67

Falkirk

vs
0.86

Dundee United

Markets

BTTS47.4%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
6.3%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).