Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.2%
Schalke 04
23.0%
Draw
10.8%
Ingolstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Schalke 04
vs
0.63
Ingolstadt
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
2-0
14.4%
1-1
10.6%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
9.0%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
4.2%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).