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05 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.2%
Gaziantep
33.2%
Draw
35.6%
Alanyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Gaziantep

vs
1.31

Alanyaspor

Markets

BTTS54.5%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.0%
0-0
11.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
7.3%
0-2
6.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).