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DHT: 00CSV

12 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.6%
Huesca
28.6%
Draw
35.9%
Albacete

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Huesca

vs
1.12

Albacete

Markets

BTTS45.2%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.1%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
10.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.8%
0-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).