Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.3%
Bolton
22.3%
Draw
18.4%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Bolton
vs
0.78
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
2-0
12.0%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).