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16 Jun 2020 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.2%
Greuther Furth
20.2%
Draw
63.6%
Heidenheim

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Greuther Furth

vs
2.35

Heidenheim

Markets

BTTS62.1%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.567.5%
Over 3.545.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.0%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.5%
0-3
6.6%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-3
4.3%
0-4
3.9%
0-0
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).