Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.3%
Ulm
26.7%
Draw
38.0%
Magdeburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Ulm
vs
1.50
Magdeburg
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).