Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.6%
Salernitana
34.7%
Draw
30.7%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Salernitana
vs
0.90
Ternana
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.583.3%
Over 1.557.2%
Over 2.528.9%
Over 3.512.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.7%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.6%
0-1
12.5%
2-0
7.3%
2-1
6.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).