Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.8%
Lille
21.5%
Draw
17.7%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Lille
vs
0.84
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
2-0
11.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).