Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.3%
Avellino
30.1%
Draw
34.6%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Avellino
vs
1.20
Ternana
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.2%
1-0
9.5%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).