Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.8%
Union Berlin
24.8%
Draw
12.3%
Mechelen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Union Berlin
vs
0.57
Mechelen
Markets
BTTS35.4%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.7%
2-0
14.7%
0-0
11.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
8.0%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
4.6%
4-0
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).