Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.7%
Reading
18.1%
Draw
24.2%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Reading
vs
1.50
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS69.9%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.574.4%
Over 3.554.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
3-1
7.0%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
1-0
5.5%
3-2
5.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.1%
0-1
3.7%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).