Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Spezia
31.4%
Draw
28.1%
Juve Stabia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Spezia
vs
0.98
Juve Stabia
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.3%
1-0
12.2%
0-1
9.5%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).