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25 Feb 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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87.8%
Wrexham
8.7%
Draw
3.4%
Dorking

Expected Goals (xG)

3.45

Wrexham

vs
0.66

Dorking

Markets

BTTS47.1%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.591.9%
Over 2.577.8%
Over 3.558.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
11.2%
2-0
9.8%
4-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
5-0
6.7%
2-1
6.4%
4-1
6.4%
1-0
5.3%
5-1
4.4%
1-1
4.0%
3-2
2.4%
2-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).