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HHT: 21CSV

19 May 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.6%
Celta
19.3%
Draw
12.1%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

2.13

Celta

vs
0.77

Levante

Markets

BTTS47.5%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.7%
4-0
4.7%
0-1
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).