Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.2%
Alanyaspor
24.2%
Draw
7.7%
Istanbulspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Alanyaspor
vs
0.58
Istanbulspor
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.2%
1-0
13.2%
1-1
11.2%
0-0
10.1%
3-0
10.0%
2-1
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
0-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).