Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.1%
Castellon
17.0%
Draw
13.9%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.48
Castellon
vs
1.03
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS58.8%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.568.1%
Over 3.546.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
3-0
7.6%
1-1
7.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
4-1
4.9%
4-0
4.7%
3-2
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).