Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
Ascoli
33.8%
Draw
24.3%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Ascoli
vs
0.78
Brescia
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.583.7%
Over 1.557.9%
Over 2.529.6%
Over 3.512.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.3%
1-0
15.4%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
10.4%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).