Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.6%
Girona
21.3%
Draw
63.2%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Girona
vs
1.99
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.2%
0-1
11.1%
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
5.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).