Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.7%
Bordeaux
14.5%
Draw
69.7%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Bordeaux
vs
3.04
Marseille
Markets
BTTS72.5%
Over 0.599.1%
Over 1.593.5%
Over 2.582.4%
Over 3.565.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
1-4
5.8%
2-3
5.5%
2-2
5.5%
0-3
5.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-4
4.2%
0-4
4.0%
0-1
3.7%
2-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).