Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.2%
Vallecano
26.3%
Draw
19.5%
Levante
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Vallecano
vs
0.81
Levante
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
11.3%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).