Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.5%
Ipswich
26.0%
Draw
17.5%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Ipswich
vs
0.83
Stoke
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.0%
3-0
6.4%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).