Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.8%
Oviedo
24.8%
Draw
14.4%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Oviedo
vs
0.61
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS36.0%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.9%
2-0
13.9%
0-0
11.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
7.0%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
4-0
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
0-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).