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HHT: 20CSV

02 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.0%
Portsmouth
25.4%
Draw
21.6%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Portsmouth

vs
0.77

Bradford

Markets

BTTS39.5%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.0%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
11.2%
0-0
10.4%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).