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AHT: 00CSV

14 Jan 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.4%
Alloa
20.0%
Draw
14.6%
Peterhead

Expected Goals (xG)

2.25

Alloa

vs
0.98

Peterhead

Markets

BTTS56.5%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.3%
1-0
8.3%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
2-2
4.8%
0-0
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
4-1
4.1%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).