⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 11

03 May 2025 · 13:00

Sirius

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
24.8%
Degerfors
23.3%
Draw
51.9%
Sirius

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Degerfors

vs
2.05

Sirius

Markets

BTTS66.4%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.566.8%
Over 3.545.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
6.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-1
6.3%
0-1
5.6%
0-3
4.6%
2-3
4.4%
0-0
4.2%
1-0
3.5%
1-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).